Bitcointalk · generation slowed down dramatically

中本聪,2010 年 2 月 23 日

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中文译文

只是运气不好的一阵连败而已。在我看来节奏很稳。

竞争要到下一次自动重定向调整才会起作用,而我们还没到下一次。

调整每 2016 个区块一次。要计算距下一次的进度,用区块总数除以 2016。小数部分就是距离下一次还有多远。

我的粗略估算:42032 区块/2016 = 20.85,即走完了 85%。距下一次还有约 1.5 天。那距上次只有约 10 天,目标是 14 天,所以 14/10 = 1.4,难度上升 40% 左右。

ORIGINAL · 英文原文
Just a random streak of bad luck.  It looks steady to me.

Competition doesn't have an effect until the next automatic retarget adjustment, and we haven't reached the next one yet.

The adjustments are every 2016 blocks.  To calculate our progress towards the next one, divide the block total by 2016.  The fractional part is how far we are to the next one. 

My back-of-the-envelope projection: 42032 blocks/2016 = 20.85 = 85% of the way.  About 1.5 days to go until the next one.  That'll only be about 10 days since the last one, the target is 14 days, so 14/10 = 1.4 = around 40% difficulty increase.
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