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Bitcoin does NOT violate Mises' Regression Theorem

中本聪 · 2010 年 8 月 27 日

SN-1677 已核对来源,附原文与上下文。

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作为一个思想实验,设想有一种金属,稀缺如黄金,却具备以下特性:

  • 颜色是无聊的灰色
  • 不是电的良导体
  • 不特别坚固,但也不柔韧、不易锻造
  • 对任何实用或装饰用途都没有价值

As a thought experiment, imagine there was a base metal as scarce as gold but with the following properties:

  • boring grey in colour
  • not a good conductor of electricity
  • not particularly strong, but not ductile or easily malleable either
  • not useful for any practical or ornamental purpose

以及一项特殊而神奇的属性:

  • 可以通过通信信道传输

and one special, magical property:

  • can be transported over a communications channel

如果它不知因为什么原因获得了哪怕一点价值,那么任何想远距离转移财富的人,都可以买入一些,把它传输出去,再让接收方卖掉。

If it somehow acquired any value at all for whatever reason, then anyone wanting to transfer wealth over a long distance could buy some, transmit it, and have the recipient sell it.

也许它会像你所说的那样,以一种循环的方式获得最初的价值:人们预见到它作为交换媒介的潜在用途。(我肯定会想要一些。)也许收藏者,或者任何偶然的原因,都可能点燃这个过程。

Maybe it could get an initial value circularly as you've suggested, by people foreseeing its potential usefulness for exchange. (I would definitely want some) Maybe collectors, any random reason could spark it.

我认为,传统的货币标准建立在一个假设上:世界上有很多稀缺物品互相竞争,其中具有内在价值、能自行启动的东西,肯定会胜过没有内在价值的东西。但如果世界上没有任何具备内在价值的东西可以充当货币,只有一些稀缺却没有内在价值的东西,我想人们仍会选择其中一种。

I think the traditional qualifications for money were written with the assumption that there are so many competing objects in the world that are scarce, an object with the automatic bootstrap of intrinsic value will surely win out over those without intrinsic value. But if there were nothing in the world with intrinsic value that could be used as money, only scarce but no intrinsic value, I think people would still take up something.

(我在这里用「稀缺」一词,仅指潜在供给有限)

(I'm using the word scarce here to only mean limited potential supply)

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